quondam bluejacket ’s tales about the ocean being sofull of fish you could take the air on them , oroysters the size of Frisbee , incline to inhale skepticism today , and for just reason — most of us have very little lineal experience with the oceans , except for the occasional news article about how we ’ve sleep together it up beyond repair . But the oceans of yesteryear really were more copious than they are today , and a new analysis of 240 year - old nautical charts hint at just how dramatically things have exchange .

A first - of - its - form equivalence of 18th century British marine chart with forward-looking coral reef database suggest that reefs were far more widespread throughout the Florida Keys several centuries ago , especially along coastline and in Florida Bay . It ’s a determination that could have implications for reef conservation and renovation , prompting ecologists to rethink what constitutes an ‘ undisturbed ’ ecosystem . And it all started when historical ecologist Loren McClenachan became beguile by a weathered former function she stumbled upon at the British Admiralty Archives some ten years back .

“ I actually had [ a copy of ] it on my wall for a while , ” McClenachan told Gizmodo , explaining how map , part of a couple of nautical charts of the northern and southerly Keys create by cartographer George Gauld for the British Admiralty between 1773 and 1775 , seemed to contain troves of ecological data — including notations of coral and seagrass cover .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

“ It was made while the Brits possess the Florida Keys , ” McClenachan explained . “ Part of the expansion of their empire was to get really skillful at sailing , and they knew that other ship — Spanish I — had crash , ” in this surface area . “ My understanding is that Gauld wanted to continue the mapping , but 1776 happened and he was driven out by pirates , ” she added .

By comparing Gauld ’s maps with innovative coral cover information from several databases , McClenachan and her colleague arrived at a bleak finish : around half of the seafloor   occupied by red coral in the vicinity of the Florida Keys in the late 18th century no longer is . Much of the dieback seems to have come in Florida Bay ( where coral screening was an estimated 88 % higher in the later 18th century ) and near to shorelines ( an estimated 69 % eminent per Gauld ’s mapping ) .

significantly , this indicate late estimates of coral dieback in the Keys , derived from information collected in the seventies , ‘ 80s , and ‘ 90s , grossly underestimate the degree to which these ecosystems have retire , harmonize to the research published this week in Science Advances .

William Duplessie

“ We ’ve really lose these nearshore reefs — lots of them probably disappeared before we even get studying them in the H2O , ” McClenachan said . She suspects the dieoff normal are due to greater human disturbance close to shorelines , and in the case of Florida Bay , changesfollowing the far-flung drainage of the Evergladesin the other 20th C .

Of course , there are plenty of caveats . This subject area only compared two marine chart from a exclusive meter point in the eighteenth one C to a much more elaborated modern record — we have to fulfill in the intervening centuries with educated dead reckoning . What ’s more , Gauld ’s chart do n’t distinguish between drained coral and bouncy coral , nor do they check coral absence seizure data point . We have no elbow room of knowing if areas where Gauld marked no coral really lack Rand , or if he just never chew the fat these office to find out .

I ’ve reached out to several coral biologists to see if they have any other thoughts about the merits or limitations of the study , and will update this post if I hear back .

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Even just qualitatively speak , though , snapshots into the past like this can be illuminating . “ I think it ’s a shifting baseline story — it puts the modern declines , ” due toocean acidification , climate variety , ontogeny and defilement , “ in context , ” McClenachan pronounce . Perhaps , places that we assume have always been coral - spare used to host vivacious reefs . “ In terms of restoration , be intimate where precious coral used to be is utile . ”

Personally , I ca n’t help but wonder how many sure-enough sailor ’s tales we ’ve publish off as legend have a nugget of truth at their heart .

[ Science Advances ]

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